The Americans from Stratfor conducted a comprehensive analysis reviewing all the conflict situations, all geopolitical and geostrategic changes that might take place in the near future in the world.
Therefore, in this report titled "Forecasts 2015-2025", analysts debate over the changes and consequences of events that we are currently leaving.
Although Vladimir Putin is keen to develop his influence and overthrow the world order, the Americans say the situation of Russia in the next decade will not be to the liking of Putin.
Stratfor agency analysts expect the "Moscow authorities to weaken substantially, leading to a fragmentation of formal and informal Russia, the Russian nuclear arsenal security will become the main concern, as this process will accelerate towards the end of the decade."
Unfortunately, the Russian economy will be weakened because of the desire to seize power. US experts say the situation in the 90s will be repeated, when the country was simply fragmented due to the inability to sustain the entire state infrastructure.
"In Western Russia, Poland, Hungary and Romania will try to recover the lost regions (in Romania's case the union with Bessarabia is mentioned) to the Russians at various times. They act so as to attract Belarus and Ukraine in this direction. In the south, the ability to control the Russian North Caucasus will evaporate and Central Asia will enter a period of instability. In the northwest, the Karelia region will seek to join Finland, and in the far Eastern coastal regions closer to China, Japan and the United States will start to behave independently from Moscow. The other regions outside Moscow will not necessarily seek autonomy, but will be put in a position to be autonomous. There will be a rebellion against Moscow, but the weakening of Moscow's ability to support and control the Russian Federation will create a true vacuum. What will continue to exist in this vacuum will be fragments of the Russian Federation "